全書目次

附錄

A 公式速查


名稱公式出處
波動拖累gμσ2/2g \approx \mu - \sigma^2/2§2.2
時間平方根律σT=σ1T\sigma_T = \sigma_1\sqrt{T}§3.2
兩資產變異數σp2=w2σA2+(1w)2σB2+2w(1w)ρσAσB\sigma_p^2 = w^2\sigma_A^2 + (1-w)^2\sigma_B^2 + 2w(1-w)\rho\sigma_A\sigma_B§5
最小變異權重w=σB2ρσAσBσA2+σB22ρσAσBw^* = \frac{\sigma_B^2 - \rho\sigma_A\sigma_B}{\sigma_A^2 + \sigma_B^2 - 2\rho\sigma_A\sigma_B}§5.2
效率前緣σp2=Cμ022Aμ0+BD\sigma_p^2 = \frac{C\mu_0^2 - 2A\mu_0 + B}{D}§7
切點組合wtanΣ1(μrf1)\mathbf{w}_{\text{tan}} \propto \boldsymbol{\Sigma}^{-1}(\boldsymbol{\mu} - r_f\mathbf{1})§8
CAPM/SMLE[Ri]=rf+βi(E[RM]rf)\mathbb{E}[R_i] = r_f + \beta_i(\mathbb{E}[R_M] - r_f)§9.1
三因子Rirf=α+b(RMrf)+sSMB+hHML+εR_i - r_f = \alpha + b(R_M - r_f) + s\,\text{SMB} + h\,\text{HML} + \varepsilon§10
高登方程式r=D1P0+gr = \frac{D_1}{P_0} + g§11
分散化極限σp2σij(σpσρ)\sigma_p^2 \to \sigma_{ij} \qquad (\sigma_p \to \sigma\sqrt{\rho})§14.1
再平衡溢酬Δg12σ2(11N)(1ρ)\Delta g \approx \tfrac{1}{2}\sigma^2\left(1 - \tfrac{1}{N}\right)(1-\rho)§15.1
隱含報酬(BL)Π=δΣwmkt\boldsymbol{\Pi} = \delta\,\boldsymbol{\Sigma}\mathbf{w}_{\text{mkt}}§17
技能辨識所需時間T(zαIR)2T \approx \left(\frac{z_\alpha}{\text{IR}}\right)^2§13.3
槓桿基金報酬gLkμ(k1)rfck2σ22g_L \approx k\mu - (k-1)r_f - c - \frac{k^2\sigma^2}{2}§25.1
最適槓桿(凱利)k=μrfσ2k^* = \frac{\mu - r_f}{\sigma^2}§25.4
風險趨避下的最適曝險α=μrfγσ2(凱利即 γ=1)\alpha^* = \frac{\mu - r_f}{\gamma\sigma^2} \qquad (\text{凱利即 } \gamma = 1)§8.1
槓桿不改變夏普SL=μrfσ(無摩擦時與 k 無關)S_L = \frac{\mu - r_f}{\sigma} \qquad (\text{無摩擦時與 } k \text{ 無關})§25.3
x 比例正二 + 現金k=2x;x=0.5    g=μσ22c2k = 2x; \quad x = 0.5 \;\Rightarrow\; g = \mu - \frac{\sigma^2}{2} - \frac{c}{2}§25.7
正二配生息資產的成立條件μYrbc>14σY2+ρσSσY\mu_Y - r_b - c \gt \tfrac{1}{4}\sigma_Y^2 + \rho\sigma_S\sigma_Y§25.7 續
同上(夏普版)SBS指數>rbrf+c3σBS_B - S_{\text{指數}} \gt \frac{r_b - r_f + c}{3\sigma_B}§25.7 續
第一穿越機率P(曾跌到 1d)=eθb,θ=2νσ2, b=ln(1d)P(\text{曾跌到 } 1-d) = e^{\theta b}, \quad \theta = \frac{2\nu}{\sigma^2},\ b = \ln(1-d)§22.5
首次 δ 回檔的期望高點E[M]=eθδ1θ,δ=ln(1d)\mathbb{E}[M] = \frac{e^{\theta\delta} - 1}{\theta}, \quad \delta = -\ln(1-d)§22.6
平滑優於跳動α2dt(αdt)2T(等號僅 α 為常數時)\int\alpha^2 dt \ge \frac{\left(\int\alpha\,dt\right)^2}{T} \qquad (\text{等號僅 } \alpha \text{ 為常數時})§22.7
融資追繳門檻維持率=k(1d)k1;淨值歸零於 d=1k\text{維持率} = \frac{k(1-d)}{k-1}; \quad \text{淨值歸零於 } d = \frac{1}{k}§25.9
生命週期股票比重w=θW+HWw_{\text{股}} = \theta\,\frac{W+H}{W}§25.11、§19.2
對角線(單因子)矩陣Σ=σM2ββT+D\boldsymbol{\Sigma} = \sigma_M^2\,\boldsymbol{\beta}\boldsymbol{\beta}^{T} + \mathbf{D}§6.2
債券價格變動ΔPPDmodΔy+12C(Δy)2\frac{\Delta P}{P} \approx -D_{\text{mod}}\Delta y + \tfrac{1}{2}C(\Delta y)^2§27.3
提領彈性係數Ct=C01φ(pWt)φ;最適 φ(0,1)C_t = C_0^{\,1-\varphi}(pW_t)^{\varphi}; \quad \text{最適 } \varphi \in (0,1)§20.5
VPW 年金因子Ct=Wta(nt),a(m)=1(1+i)miC_t = \frac{W_t}{a(n-t)}, \quad a(m) = \frac{1-(1+i)^{-m}}{i}§20.4
FIRE 目標與 Coast 門檻F=Cw;K=F(1+g)nF = \frac{C}{w}; \quad K = \frac{F}{(1+g)^n}§20.7
Coast 隱含的賭注g=(FW)1/n1;lnKg=n1+gg^* = \left(\frac{F}{W}\right)^{1/n} - 1; \quad \frac{\partial \ln K}{\partial g} = -\frac{n}{1+g}§20.7
分批投入平均曝險n+12n12\frac{n+1}{2n} \approx \tfrac{1}{2}§21.2
期望報酬三項分解E[R]收益率+g+[(mHm0)1/H1]\mathbb{E}[R] \approx \text{收益率} + g + \left[\left(\frac{m_H}{m_0}\right)^{1/H} - 1\right]§12.3
公允估值倍數m=1r實質g實質m^* = \frac{1}{r_{\text{實質}} - g_{\text{實質}}}§12.5
股票風險溢酬ERP=E[R]E[R安全]\text{ERP} = \mathbb{E}[R_{\text{股}}] - \mathbb{E}[R_{\text{安全}}]§12.6
估值疊加w=wn+λ[wnERPERPn(σnσ)2wn]w = w_n + \lambda\left[w_n\,\frac{\text{ERP}}{\text{ERP}_n}\left(\frac{\sigma_n}{\sigma}\right)^2 - w_n\right]§19.6